I’ve been trying to explain to people for a long time what’s going on, but for some reason nobody listens.
Normally at this stage of the commodity bull market you would expect new capacity to be coming on stream. The problem of course is that in 2008 and 2009 everybody got hit. So, many of the people who were thinking about adding capacity have pulled back, cancelled, delayed, rescheduled, etc. Fortunately or unfortunately, the supply side of the equation seems to be getting worse not better.
Previous bull markets in commodities have lasted 15 or 20 years. This one’s going to last at least that long if not longer.
Related: ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agriculture Total Return ETN (NYSE:RJA), PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (NYSE:DBA), iPath S&P GSCI Crude Oil Total Return (NYSE:OIL), United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (NYSE:UNG), iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cotton Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSE:BAL)
Jim Rogers is an author, financial commentator and successful international investor. He has been frequently featured in Time, The New York Times, Barron’s, Forbes, Fortune, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times and is a regular guest on Bloomberg and CNBC.